Blackjack Odds, Probabilities & Statistics

While playing live blackjack games it's important to understand the odds and probabilities. It's critical to learn understand the basic blackjack odds found in the charts below. In blackjack knowledge is power and the information found below will be one of the most powerful weapons you have against the "House".  Once you have learned the probability of each hand you will have a greater understanding of the house advantage. You can use this knowledge to minimize your losses and maximize your winnings in live blackjack.

Who Has The Advantage In A Blackjack Game?

The casino is always going to have the advantage over the player.  In a 6 deck blackjack table game the casinos advantage is 8%.  Which also can be translated into the house winning 58% of the time. This only leaves the player with a 42% chance of winning. The main advantage for the house is the fact that they go last. This enables the dealer to sit back and win the bets from players that bust.  By using the information in the probability charts below you can reduce the house edge in blackjack from 8% down to 0.5%.  Which also can be translated into the house advantage at 50.5 and the player at 49.5. This is why blackjack is the most popular table game at casinos. When you play roulette and you bet on red/black or odd/even you only have a 47.37% chance at winning.

A 2.13% difference probably doesn't sound like much but it is! Blackjack provides better odds for a skilled player than any other game at a casino. I know people that spend a lot of money playing instant (scratch-off) lottery tickets. You are 2-3 times more likely to win at blackjack than you are to win with a instant ticket. Odds are everything when it comes to gambling and the smart players always give themselves the best odds. Below you will find a few different charts. Two show you the % of busting, player advantage as well as our own chart that allows you to input different variables to give you the best strategy possible. (Other strategy tools available include a house edge calculator and a risk of ruin calculator.

Player	Dealer Upcard
	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	A
5	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H
6	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H
7	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H
8	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H	H
9	H	D	D	D	D	H	H	H	H	H
10	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	H	H
11	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	H
12	H	H	S	S	S	H	H	H	H	H
13	S	S	S	S	S	H	H	H	H	H
14	S	S	S	S	S	H	H	H	H	H
15	S	S	S	S	S	H	H	H	RH	H
16	S	S	S	S	S	H	H	RH	RS	RH
17	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S
A,2	H	H	H	D	D	H	H	H	H	H
A,3	H	H	H	D	D	H	H	H	H	H
A,4	H	H	D	D	D	H	H	H	H	H
A,5	H	H	D	D	D	H	H	H	H	H
A,6	H	D	D	D	D	H	H	H	H	H
A,7	S	DS	DS	DS	DS	S	S	H	H	H
A,8	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S
A,9	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S
2,2	P	P	P	P	P	P	H	H	H	H
3,3	P	P	P	P	P	P	H	H	H	H
4,4	H	H	H	P	P	H	H	H	H	H
5,5	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	H	H
6,6	P	P	P	P	P	H	H	H	H	H
7,7	P	P	P	P	P	P	H	H	H	H
8,8	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P
9,9	P	P	P	P	P	S	P	P	S	S
T,T	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S	S
A,A	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P
Legend
	H	Hit	S	Stand		D	Double
	P	Split	DS	Double if possible; if not, stand
	RH	Surrender if possible; if not, hit
	RS	Surrender if possible; if not, stand

The statistics below are based on over millions of hands being played. By following the charts below a player can hope to go on what is called a "run".  A run is were a player goes on a winning streak which often occurs in the game of blackjack.

Player Advantage Based On Dealers Show Card

Dealer (Showing):	% Of Dealer Busting	Player Advantage %
2	35.30%	9.8%
3	37.56%	13.4%
4	40.28%	18.0%
5	42.89%	23.2%
6	42.28%	23.9%
7	25.99%	14.3%
8	23.86%	5.4%
9	23.34%	-4.3%
J,Q,K	21.42%	-16.9%
A	11.65%	-16.0%

Odds Of Busting in Blackjack

Hand Value	% Of Busting If You Hit
21	100%
20	92%
19	85%
18	77%
17	69%
16	62%
15	58%
14	56%
13	39%
12	31%
11 or Less	0%